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The likely impacts of depleting world oil supplies
will be discussed by leading analysts at a three-day workshop in Sweden
organized by Uppsala University and the Association for the Study of Peak
Oil (ASPO) on 23-25 May. The workshop is sponsored by the Swedish Energy
Agency, the Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering and other.
"This workshop will provide a valuable opportunity for
experts from around the world to discuss their data and views on what is
surely a critical but not widely recognized problem -- the imminent peaking
of world oil production and the subsequent decline in oil supplies. What
Kyoto was to Climate; Uppsala is to Oil," said Dr. Colin J. Campbell, a
retired oil industry executive and founder of ASPO.
An increasing number of experts now predict that world
oil production will peak within a decade, from which point demand will
outstrip long-term supply with the obvious consequence for prices. A number
of geologists now say that large new oil discoveries are highly unlikely
and new oil-recovery techniques will not provide enough to have any material
impact on the date of peak. Oil currently supplies about 40% of the energy
the world consumes and provides 90% of transport fuel so any shortfall
in supply would have major consequences.
Experts from Europe, America, Russia and the Middle East
will be among the 18 speakers at the workshop. They include current and
former oil executives, industry advisers and analysts, engineers, economists,
and academics; Mat Simmons - President of Simmons International, member
of Bush's energy committee, Ray C. Leonard - Vice President of Exploration
and New Ventures, Yukos Oil Co, Moscow, Ali Bakhtiari - adviser to National
Iranian Oil company, Eric Mathiesen – from the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate,
Jean Laherrere - formerly deputy exploration managher of Total Oil Co,
leading expert on depletion, Richard Douthwaite - Economist, founder of
FEASTA, J. Lefevre - lawyer with central position in Kyoto negotiations
and advising EU on environmental legislation.
For a complete list of workshop speakers and abstracts
of their papers see:
www.isv.uu.se/iwood2002
For information about the workshop contact:
Professor Kjell Aleklett, Uppsala University
Tel: +46 18471-5825 / Mobile: +46 70425-0604
E-mail: aleklett@tsl.uu.se
©-2002. UPPSALA UNIVERSITET,
Box 256, 751 05 Uppsala
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